Corinthians vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
CEA
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BAH
0 - 3
COR
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
COR
2 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
COR
22%
25%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 2
COR
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 3
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
PAR
3 - 1
CRI
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |