Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 4-1
Corinthians vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
71%
21%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
LON
62%
25%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
COR
18%
28%
54%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
24%
28%
47%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 2
CEL
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
PLA
2 - 1
MWA
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CER
3 - 0
MWA
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
MWA
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 2
PLA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |