Corinthians vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
COR
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
30%
29%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
3 - 2
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
COR
26%
29%
46%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 1
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
BAH
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |