Alagoano Inicial Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Corinthians AL vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians AL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
COR
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
COR
0 - 4
COR
40%
23%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
IPA
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 3
COR
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
69%
18%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
3 - 0
CSE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
MUR
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |