Coria CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
5 - 0
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
NUE
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
DHE
1 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
SOL
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 2
COR
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LUC
2 - 3
CCF
38%
29%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
62%
21%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 1
BAR
22%
28%
50%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 2
LUC
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 1
BET
18%
26%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |