Constància vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
CON
3 - 2
HER
29%
29%
43%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
MLL
6 - 0
CON
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
CON
0 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
CAD
4 - 1
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
CON
1 - 0
LEV
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1968 |
RJA
0 - 2
CEU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
61%
22%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
RJA
2 - 0
XER
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
VAL
2 - 0
RJA
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1967 |
EUR
4 - 0
RJA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |