Constància vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
SLL
1 - 3
CON
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CON
2 - 0
IBI
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ATB
1 - 1
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PBL
4 - 1
CON
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
PXD
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FER
3 - 3
SPO
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 0
FER
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FER
3 - 1
MNC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CLL
2 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |