Athlético Marseille vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 3
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
HYE
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CON
1 - 2
BAY
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 2
CON
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 2
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
PAU
35%
29%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAY
35%
29%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
SAE
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BEZ
0 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |