USL First Division - USA Round 11

Connecticut vs Long Island Rough Riders analysis

Connecticut Long Island Rough Riders
29 ELO 45
-2.4% Tilt -3.8%
10665º General ELO ranking 5098º
174º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
27.1%
Connecticut
25.5%
Draw
47.4%
Long Island Rough Riders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
Connecticut
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.4%
Win probability
Long Island Rough Riders
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Connecticut
-8%
-22%
Long Island Rough Riders

ELO progression

Connecticut
Long Island Rough Riders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Connecticut
Connecticut
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2000
CAC
Connecticut
1 - 1
San Diego Flash
SAN
26%
25%
49%
29 50 21 0
12 Jul. 2000
TOR
Toronto Lynx
0 - 1
Connecticut
CAC
71%
18%
12%
28 56 28 +1
09 Jul. 2000
CAC
Connecticut
1 - 1
CF Montréal
MON
19%
24%
57%
27 64 37 +1
04 Jul. 2000
LON
Long Island Rough Riders
4 - 1
Connecticut
CAC
76%
16%
8%
28 45 17 -1
24 Jun. 2000
CAC
Connecticut
1 - 2
Boston Bulldogs
BOS
35%
26%
39%
29 37 8 -1

Matches

Long Island Rough Riders
Long Island Rough Riders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2000
ROC
Rochester New York
2 - 0
Long Island Rough Riders
LON
70%
19%
12%
45 61 16 0
07 Jul. 2000
LON
Long Island Rough Riders
1 - 2
CF Montréal
MON
26%
25%
49%
45 64 19 0
04 Jul. 2000
LON
Long Island Rough Riders
4 - 1
Connecticut
CAC
76%
16%
8%
45 28 17 0
30 Jun. 2000
ROC
Rochester New York
2 - 1
Long Island Rough Riders
LON
69%
19%
12%
45 62 17 0
28 Jun. 2000
MON
CF Montréal
1 - 3
Long Island Rough Riders
LON
71%
18%
11%
43 65 22 +2