Conil vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CRD
1 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
CAD
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
CON
62%
22%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
ALG
29%
26%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 0
AYA
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AYA
3 - 0
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
AYA
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 1
REC
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |