Congo vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
COD
1 - 1
CGO
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
CGO
1 - 0
ZAM
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
COD
3 - 1
CGO
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
COD
2 - 2
CGO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
ZAM
0 - 0
RSA
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
RSA
1 - 0
COD
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
GHA
0 - 0
RSA
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
RSA
2 - 0
AUS
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
RSA
1 - 0
KEN
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |