Concordia vs Montecchio Maggiore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+432%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
SAC
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
ITA
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montecchio Maggiore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DEL
2 - 0
MON
71%
17%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GIO
0 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |