Concordia Basel vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
11º
5º
2
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 62 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 56 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 35 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 29 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 27 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 1% |
|
Possible next round
|
10.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
AZB
0 - 8
CON
10%
13%
77%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CON
1 - 2
MUT
55%
21%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
BLA
1 - 1
CON
47%
22%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CON
2 - 3
BBB
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCP
2 - 1
CON
54%
23%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
BLA
5 - 2
OLD
58%
20%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
TAV
1 - 2
OLD
9%
14%
78%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
OLD
4 - 1
LER
89%
8%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
OLD
5 - 0
ALL
85%
9%
5%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
STA
2 - 5
OLD
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +2 |