Concordia Basel vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAN
4 - 1
CON
22%
22%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
MUN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SOL
4 - 0
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SCH
76%
14%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAD
1 - 2
CON
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BLA
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
THU
1 - 2
LUZ
30%
23%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ZOF
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCG
4 - 3
LUZ
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |