Concord Rangers vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
WHI
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 2
CON
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CON
0 - 0
BRE
41%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
CON
5 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HIL
1 - 3
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
EAS
4 - 2
TIL
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TIL
1 - 1
WHI
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 4
TIL
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |