Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CDM
1 - 0
CON
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
COB
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
CSL
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CON
3 - 0
COQ
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
USF
1 - 1
PUE
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 1
USF
70%
18%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
USF
2 - 1
COQ
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 0
USF
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
USF
2 - 1
UCO
34%
26%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |