Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PUE
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
ACS
1 - 1
CON
68%
19%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
CON
0 - 0
SWA
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
COQ
1 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
SWA
4 - 0
UNI
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
UNI
2 - 0
COQ
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 3
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
UNI
1 - 2
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |