Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
PUE
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
ULC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
HUA
27%
22%
51%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ULC
1 - 1
CUR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
IQU
1 - 1
ULC
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ULC
0 - 0
ANT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
ULC
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IQU
1 - 1
ULC
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |