Concepción vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 0
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
LOT
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
CSD
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 5
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 0
CON
34%
26%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NTA
4 - 3
CSD
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 4
NTA
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 1
LOT
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 1
NTA
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
3 - 0
CUR
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |