Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
CON
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
EVE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
NUB
23%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 1
LOT
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
NTA
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAG
0 - 0
LOT
61%
22%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
LOT
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |