Concepción vs Independiente Cauquenes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
DLI
1 - 4
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
SAU
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
GVE
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
SAU
3 - 0
CAU
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
FVC
3 - 1
CAU
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAU
2 - 1
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
CAU
2 - 1
SAU
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GVE
2 - 1
CAU
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |