Concepción FC vs Deportivo Aguilares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
CON
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
ATL
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
LIB
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
LAS
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aguilares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
LIB
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
PRO
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
CHI
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
AGU
79%
15%
7%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
AGU
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |