Concarneau vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LAT
0 - 0
CON
20%
25%
54%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
CON
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
AVR
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
USS
0 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
46%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DIV
0 - 0
USS
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
USS
2 - 3
LAV
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BON
0 - 0
USS
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
USS
0 - 1
LOR
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |