Concarneau vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 2
CON
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
STA
4 - 1
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
PON
2 - 2
CON
41%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 0
PAU
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 1
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
TRE
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |