Concarneau vs Mondeville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PON
0 - 2
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
DIN
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
CON
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
GRA
44%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ROU
0 - 0
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mondeville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
GUI
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 1
MON
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 2
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
SAI
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |