Concarneau vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
ROM
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GDB
2 - 2
CON
20%
26%
55%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
FON
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CON
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
TRE
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FLE
0 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
GDB
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 0
LOR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |