National 2 Round 17

Concarneau vs Le Havre II analysis

Concarneau Le Havre II
45 ELO 44
2.8% Tilt -23.8%
1658º General ELO ranking 20076º
46º Country ELO ranking 428º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Concarneau
25.6%
Draw
29.8%
Le Havre II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
Concarneau
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
Le Havre II
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Concarneau
-24%
+2%
Le Havre II

ELO progression

Concarneau
Le Havre II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Concarneau
Concarneau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2012
CON
Concarneau
0 - 1
Pacy Vallée-d.Eure
PAC
26%
26%
48%
43 55 12 0
29 Jan. 2012
LEM
Le Mans II
1 - 1
Concarneau
CON
60%
23%
16%
42 48 6 +1
14 Jan. 2012
CON
Concarneau
1 - 2
Luçon
LUC
27%
25%
48%
43 53 10 -1
07 Jan. 2012
VCH
V.Châtillon
1 - 2
Concarneau
CON
64%
21%
15%
42 46 4 +1
03 Dec. 2011
CON
Concarneau
0 - 2
Plabennec
PLA
29%
26%
45%
43 53 10 -1

Matches

Le Havre II
Le Havre II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2012
LUC
Luçon
3 - 1
Le Havre II
LEH
58%
24%
18%
46 53 7 0
29 Jan. 2012
LEH
Le Havre II
0 - 1
Avranches
AVR
44%
25%
31%
47 50 3 -1
14 Jan. 2012
LAV
La Vitréenne
3 - 1
Le Havre II
LEH
38%
28%
34%
48 46 2 -1
10 Dec. 2011
LEH
Le Havre II
2 - 1
Pontivy
PON
59%
22%
19%
48 45 3 0
03 Dec. 2011
LES
Les Herbiers
1 - 2
Le Havre II
LEH
55%
24%
21%
47 49 2 +1