Concarneau vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SAI
2 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CON
0 - 3
QUC
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 2
GUI
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LAV
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALE
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 0
CHA
44%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAI
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |