Comunal Cabrero vs Provincial Ranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
78.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
DLI
3 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DUC
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
MSA
2 - 2
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 3
REN
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CDP
4 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |