Como vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TER
4 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
CRO
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
COM
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
VIR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 2
PRG
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
PES
3 - 2
AVE
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |