Como vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
COM
3 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 0
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
MOD
2 - 0
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
VER
1 - 1
COM
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
PAR
3 - 0
ACM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
BRE
3 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
4 - 0
SSS
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |