Como vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
COM
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
PES
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
CES
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
CRO
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |