Como vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
COM
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COM
0 - 2
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
USF
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
REG
2 - 4
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
COM
2 - 2
SOR
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 0
BEN
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEO
85%
12%
3%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 2
REG
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |