Como vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CES
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
COM
2 - 0
SPA
45%
30%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
COM
0 - 0
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
LIV
5 - 3
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
4 - 1
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
ARZ
37%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 2
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |