Comerciantes FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
COM
3 - 0
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 0
COM
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
DAG
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
58%
22%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 1
COM
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 4
COM
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
DAG
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SFC
0 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
UCV
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |