Comercial vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
CAT
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
COM
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COM
3 - 4
LIN
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 5
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 3
PPE
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 0
GUA
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 2
MOG
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 3
MOG
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |