Comercial vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
COM
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 1
COM
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
VOT
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
BAT
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIR
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
BOT
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |