Comercial PI vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
CAC
36%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
4 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAC
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 2
PIC
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
4DE
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
PIC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
PIC
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |