Colwyn Bay vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 5
HIN
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
COL
4 - 1
BIS
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 2
GLO
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 0
COR
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 2
GUI
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HYD
0 - 1
GUI
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
TOW
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |