Colwyn Bay vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 3
HED
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
4 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
GAI
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 1
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 3
TOW
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |