Colón vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
LAN
4 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
ARG
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 0
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
CAU
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
UNI
79%
15%
7%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
SLO
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 2
RIV
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 1
BEL
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |