Colón vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LAN
2 - 1
COL
59%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
BAN
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NOB
1 - 1
COL
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
0 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
3 - 1
BAN
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
SLO
32%
27%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
5 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |