Colón vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
ARG
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SLO
2 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DHA
1 - 0
COL
28%
30%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 0
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
MWA
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
TEM
0 - 2
BOC
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
BOC
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |