Colón II vs San Lorenzo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
ROC
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
GLP
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
HUR
5 - 2
COL
60%
23%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
PAT
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
SLO
3 - 1
CAU
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 2
SLO
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
SLO
2 - 1
ROC
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 2
SLO
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
SLO
1 - 1
GOC
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |