Non League Div One Northern North Round 17

Colne FC vs Lancaster City analysis

Colne FC Lancaster City
29 ELO 41
-2.5% Tilt -5.9%
22226º General ELO ranking 7635º
972º Country ELO ranking 299º
ELO win probability
28.8%
Colne FC
22.1%
Draw
49.1%
Lancaster City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
Colne FC
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
49.1%
Win probability
Lancaster City
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Colne FC
Lancaster City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colne FC
Colne FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2017
COL
Colne FC
2 - 3
Farsley Celtic
FAR
30%
22%
48%
32 38 6 0
14 Jan. 2017
OSS
Ossett Town
1 - 2
Colne FC
COL
53%
21%
26%
32 32 0 0
07 Jan. 2017
TAD
Tadcaster Albion
1 - 2
Colne FC
COL
32%
23%
45%
31 25 6 +1
02 Jan. 2017
COL
Colne FC
3 - 2
Kendal Town
KEN
47%
21%
32%
30 30 0 +1
26 Dec. 2016
CLI
Clitheroe
2 - 2
Colne FC
COL
58%
20%
23%
30 32 2 0

Matches

Lancaster City
Lancaster City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2017
LAN
Lancaster City
0 - 1
Trafford
TRA
49%
24%
27%
41 39 2 0
14 Jan. 2017
SCA
Scarborough Athletic
1 - 3
Lancaster City
LAN
20%
23%
57%
41 28 13 0
07 Jan. 2017
GOO
Goole
1 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
14%
21%
65%
41 23 18 0
02 Jan. 2017
LAN
Lancaster City
3 - 2
Bamber Bridge
BAM
76%
16%
8%
41 27 14 0
29 Dec. 2016
LAN
Lancaster City
3 - 1
Burscough
BUR
80%
14%
6%
41 22 19 0