Collex-Bossy vs Stade Payerne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
13º
10º
37
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
4 - 1
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
ECH
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
THI
1 - 3
COL
13%
17%
71%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 5
UGS
54%
22%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SBC
2 - 0
COL
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
SBC
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PFO
3 - 1
STA
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
ITA
37%
22%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FOO
1 - 4
STA
16%
19%
66%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 3
YVE
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |