Collex-Bossy vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CSC
1 - 0
COL
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COL
3 - 3
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
COL
1 - 8
LAU
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
TER
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 3
BAV
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAV
2 - 2
TER
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SER
2 - 1
BAV
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAV
0 - 2
MON
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAV
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |