UD Collerense vs Sp. Mahonès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
POR
3 - 4
CLL
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CLL
0 - 2
PXD
27%
27%
46%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
CLL
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CLL
2 - 1
MNU
27%
26%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ATB
1 - 1
CLL
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sp. Mahonès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MHN
4 - 1
ALA
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
UDA
0 - 1
MHN
33%
27%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
MHN
2 - 0
IBI
45%
28%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CFP
4 - 2
MHN
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
MHN
3 - 1
CAM
59%
24%
17%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |