UD Collerense vs UE Alcudia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PBL
2 - 0
CLL
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CLL
1 - 0
MER
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SDF
0 - 1
CLL
65%
22%
14%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CLL
1 - 0
FER
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
CLL
47%
26%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
UE Alcudia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
PCE
46%
26%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PBL
26%
27%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MER
3 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
SDF
22%
27%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
45%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |