Coles vs Vilamarin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 1
COL
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
MUI
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LOB
2 - 2
COL
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COL
3 - 2
TOE
53%
22%
26%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
COL
16%
20%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vilamarin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MUI
2 - 1
VIL
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOE
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
COV
4 - 2
VIL
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
IRI
71%
16%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OUT
1 - 1
VIL
31%
23%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |